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Ligue 1

Troyes v Le Mans

2026-10-31 · 20:45 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 80% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 20:45 WAT.
  • Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Troyes: 0.50 scored / 2.50 conceded per game; Le Mans: 1.17 / 1.83.
  • Projected goals 1.24 (Troyes) vs 1.64 (Le Mans).

Team goals

  • Away team to score
    81%Pending
    • From recent scoring: home 0.50 goals/game, away 1.17.
    • Le Mans to score lands in 81% of modelled outcomes.

Match result

  • Home or away (12)
    80%Pending
    • Result model: home 28%, draw 26%, away 46%.
    • Either team (no draw) covers 80% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Goals

  • Over 1.5 goals
    80%Pending
    • Model projects about 2.9 total goals (1.24 vs 1.64).
    • Over 1.5 goals lands in 80% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.