Premier League

Man City v Brighton Hove

2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:00:40 PM

The signal — 4 picks · 80% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/4.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.

Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Man City: 3.17 scored / 2.00 conceded per game; Brighton Hove: 2.67 / 0.50.
Projected goals 1.64 (Man City) vs 1.94 (Brighton Hove).

Team goals

Away team to score
86%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 3.17 goals/game, away 2.67.
- Brighton Hove to score lands in 86% of modelled outcomes.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals
86%Pending
- Model projects about 3.6 total goals (1.64 vs 1.94).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 86% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.
Both teams to score — Yes
65%Pending
- Scoring rates: home 96% of games, away 93%.
- Both teams to score modelled at 65%.

Match result

Home or away (12)
82%Pending
- Result model: home 32%, draw 23%, away 44%.
- Either team (no draw) covers 82% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.