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Premier League

Bournemouth v Leeds United

2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:00:40 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 77% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.
  • Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Bournemouth: 1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded per game; Leeds United: 1.17 / 0.83.
  • Projected goals 1.29 (Bournemouth) vs 1.39 (Leeds United).

Match result

  • Home or away (12)
    79%Pending
    • Result model: home 34%, draw 28%, away 38%.
    • Either team (no draw) covers 79% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Goals

  • Over 1.5 goals
    77%Pending
    • Model projects about 2.7 total goals (1.29 vs 1.39).
    • Over 1.5 goals lands in 77% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Team goals

  • Away team to score
    75%Pending
    • From recent scoring: home 1.67 goals/game, away 1.17.
    • Leeds United to score lands in 75% of modelled outcomes.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.