Premier League

Aston Villa v Fulham

2026-10-31 · 21:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 81% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 21:00 WAT.

Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Aston Villa: 2.83 scored / 1.00 conceded per game; Fulham: 1.00 / 1.00.
Projected goals 1.69 (Aston Villa) vs 1.14 (Fulham).

Team goals

Home team to score
82%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 2.83 goals/game, away 1.00.
- Aston Villa to score lands in 82% of modelled outcomes.

Match result

Home or draw (1X)
81%Pending
- Result model: home 49%, draw 26%, away 25%.
- Aston Villa or draw covers 81% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals
79%Pending
- Model projects about 2.8 total goals (1.69 vs 1.14).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 79% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.