Premier League

Brentford v Nottingham

2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:00:40 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 77% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.

Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Brentford: 1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded per game; Nottingham: 0.67 / 1.17.
Projected goals 1.39 (Brentford) vs 1.14 (Nottingham).

Match result

Home or away (12)
79%Pending
- Result model: home 42%, draw 29%, away 30%.
- Either team (no draw) covers 79% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals
76%Pending
- Model projects about 2.5 total goals (1.39 vs 1.14).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 76% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Team goals

Home team to score
75%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 1.67 goals/game, away 0.67.
- Brentford to score lands in 75% of modelled outcomes.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.