EFL Championship

Bolton v Bristol City

2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 74% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.

Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Bolton: 1.67 scored / 1.83 conceded per game; Bristol City: 0.33 / 0.67.
Projected goals 1.24 (Bolton) vs 1.19 (Bristol City).

Match result

Home or away (12)
78%Pending
- Result model: home 37%, draw 30%, away 34%.
- Either team (no draw) covers 78% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals
74%Pending
- Model projects about 2.4 total goals (1.24 vs 1.19).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 74% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Team goals

Home team to score
71%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 1.67 goals/game, away 0.33.
- Bolton to score lands in 71% of modelled outcomes.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.