EFL Championship

Middlesbrough v Charlton

2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 82% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.

Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Middlesbrough: 2.50 scored / 1.50 conceded per game; Charlton: 0.83 / 1.83.
Projected goals 1.84 (Middlesbrough) vs 1.24 (Charlton).

Team goals

Home team to score
84%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 2.50 goals/game, away 0.83.
- Middlesbrough to score lands in 84% of modelled outcomes.

Goals

Over 1.5 goals
82%Pending
- Model projects about 3.1 total goals (1.84 vs 1.24).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 82% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Match result

Home or away (12)
81%Pending
- Result model: home 51%, draw 25%, away 25%.
- Either team (no draw) covers 81% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.