EFL Championship

Burnley v Portsmouth

2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 80% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.

Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Burnley: 1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded per game; Portsmouth: 1.50 / 1.17.
Projected goals 1.39 (Burnley) vs 1.59 (Portsmouth).

Goals

Over 1.5 goals
81%Pending
- Model projects about 3.0 total goals (1.39 vs 1.59).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 81% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Match result

Home or away (12)
80%Pending
- Result model: home 33%, draw 26%, away 41%.
- Either team (no draw) covers 80% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Team goals

Away team to score
80%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 1.67 goals/game, away 1.50.
- Portsmouth to score lands in 80% of modelled outcomes.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.