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EFL Championship
Southampton v QPR
2026-10-31 · 16:00 WAT
Upcoming · not played yetEngine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM
The signal — 3 picks · 79% avg. confidence
Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.
Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:00 WAT.
- Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Southampton: 1.67 scored / 0.83 conceded per game; QPR: 2.17 / 1.33.
- Projected goals 1.44 (Southampton) vs 1.44 (QPR).
Match result
- Home or away (12)80%Pending
- Result model: home 37%, draw 27%, away 37%.
- Either team (no draw) covers 80% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.
Goals
- Over 1.5 goals80%Pending
- Model projects about 2.9 total goals (1.44 vs 1.44).
- Over 1.5 goals lands in 80% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.
Team goals
- Home team to score76%Pending
- From recent scoring: home 1.67 goals/game, away 2.17.
- Southampton to score lands in 76% of modelled outcomes.
Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.