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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano v Celta

2026-10-31 · 16:15 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 79% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 16:15 WAT.
  • Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Rayo Vallecano: 1.33 scored / 2.00 conceded per game; Celta: 1.50 / 0.50.
  • Projected goals 1.09 (Rayo Vallecano) vs 1.59 (Celta).

Match result

  • Draw or away (X2)
    81%Pending
    • Result model: home 25%, draw 27%, away 48%.
    • Celta or draw covers 81% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Team goals

  • Away team to score
    80%Pending
    • From recent scoring: home 1.33 goals/game, away 1.50.
    • Celta to score lands in 80% of modelled outcomes.

Goals

  • Over 1.5 goals
    77%Pending
    • Model projects about 2.7 total goals (1.09 vs 1.59).
    • Over 1.5 goals lands in 77% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.