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Bundesliga

Bayern v Dortmund

2026-10-31 · 18:30 WAT

Upcoming · not played yet

Engine: model · poisson-tempo-v1 · generated 10/27/2026, 11:02:43 PM

The signal — 3 picks · 83% avg. confidence

Not a single win/lose call — independent market reads, each settled on its own. Post-match accuracy for this fixture is hits/3.

Not played yet. These are the published picks; each settles after full time. Kickoff 18:30 WAT.
  • Model-led read from the last 6 games per side. Bayern: 3.83 scored / 1.50 conceded per game; Dortmund: 1.00 / 0.67.
  • Projected goals 1.89 (Bayern) vs 1.29 (Dortmund).

Team goals

  • Home team to score
    85%Pending
    • From recent scoring: home 3.83 goals/game, away 1.00.
    • Bayern to score lands in 85% of modelled outcomes.

Goals

  • Over 1.5 goals
    83%Pending
    • Model projects about 3.2 total goals (1.89 vs 1.29).
    • Over 1.5 goals lands in 83% of modelled outcomes from both sides' recent scoring rate.

Match result

  • Home or away (12)
    82%Pending
    • Result model: home 51%, draw 24%, away 25%.
    • Either team (no draw) covers 82% of those outcomes — the low-variance safety read.

Predictions are decision-support only, not financial or betting advice. Outcomes are uncertain; past accuracy does not guarantee future results.