Confidence scores are not guarantees

We publish confidence as a structured summary of how strong the signal is relative to our inputs — not as a promise about the result.

When you read a fixture note alongside a prediction, look for:

• Data quality — injuries, lineups, and sample size all shrink or stretch confidence.
• Match context — travel, rest, and motivation can dominate small statistical edges.

Use predictions as one input in your process, not the whole story.